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Probability Distributions

Probability

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1. Bernoulli Distribution

  • Also known as a binary distribution
  • Used to model the outcome of a single trial or experiment with two possible outcomes (e.g., heads/tails, pass/fail)
Probability mass function: P(X=k) = p^k \ (1-p)^(1-k), where k=0,1 and p is the probability of success

Example: Flipping a coin once. The outcome is either heads (success) or tails (failure). In this case, p=0.5.

2. Binomial Distribution


  • Used to model the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, each with two possible outcomes
Probability mass function: P(X=k) = C(n,k) \ p^k \* (1-p)^(n-k), where k=0,1,...,n and n is the number of trials

Example: Drawing 5 cards from a standard deck without replacement. The outcome can be the number of hearts drawn (success). In this case, n=5 and p=13/52.

3. Poisson Distribution


  • Used to model the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space
Probability mass function: P(X=k) = e^(-λ) \ (λ^k)/k!, where k=0,1,... and λ is the average rate of events

Example: Number of phone calls received by a call center per hour. The outcome can be the number of calls received in an hour.

4. Normal Distribution


  • Also known as the Gaussian distribution
  • Used to model continuous data that cluster around the mean with a symmetrical bell-shaped curve
Probability density function: f(x) = (1/√(2πσ^2)) \ e^(-(x-μ)^2/(2σ^2)), where μ is the mean and σ is the standard deviation

Example: Heights of adults in a population. The outcome can be any value within the normal range.

5. Exponential Distribution


  • Used to model the time between events or failures
Probability density function: f(x) = λ \ e^(-λx), where x>0 and λ is the rate parameter

Example: Time between failures of a machine. The outcome can be any value greater than 0.

These distributions are widely used in statistics to model real-world phenomena, but they have different properties and applications.